The footwear industry will maintain its momentum
13.08.2014 4666

The footwear industry will maintain its momentum

The difficult situation in the Russian economy will not be limited to 2014 year. The IMF lowered its forecast for GDP growth for the 2015 year from 2,3 to 1%. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expect a recession probability of 50% over the next twelve months.

The possibility of introducing new sanctions and a decrease in investment activity with a high degree of probability can drive the Russian economy into a recession - a slight permanent deterioration in economic indicators. Analysts of 28 Russian and Western investment companies surveyed by Bloomberg expect a recession in the next 12 months with a probability of 50%.

“Our June forecast for GDP dynamics indicates that by the end of 2014, the decline will be 0,7%. As new data becomes available, the forecast may be revised, but so far we do not see fundamental grounds for this, ”says Anna Bogdyukevich, analyst at UniCredit Bank. In her opinion, the probability of a recession is 95%.

According to the chief economist of HSBC in Russia, Alexander Morozov, in the first half of this year there was already a technical recession in Russia (a decline for two quarters in a row), respectively, by the end of the whole year, the recession may become full. So far, his official forecast is based on zero growth. The reason is that the balance between consumer demand and investment has not yet been restored, and consumer demand cannot grow for a long time without the required level of investment.

The only hope is for raw materials exports and large construction projects. Rosbank analyst Evgeny Koshelev points to him, who gave the most optimistic assessment of the likelihood of a recession (only 8%). "Fundamentally, mining remains a strong industry, processing of raw materials, retail trade and the footwear industry show good dynamics," the expert said.

The difficult situation in the Russian economy will not be limited to 2014 year.
5
1
Rating

Latest News

Online registration is open for the international footwear exhibition Euro Shoes in Moscow

The international exhibition of footwear and accessories Euro Shoes Premiere Collection will be held in Moscow at the Expocentre from 18 to 21 February 2025.
24.01.2025 981

Christian Louboutin Unveils New 'More Comfortable' 'Miss Z' Pumps

French luxury brand Christian Louboutin has heeded the requests of its discerning customers who dream of Louboutin's spectacular high-heeled pumps being a little more comfortable. The new "Miss Z" model features a number of new…
24.01.2025 161

St. Petersburg gathered entrepreneurs from all over the country to criticize the labeling system

On January 23, a conference was held at the Nevskaya Ratusha in St. Petersburg, dedicated to the analysis of the impact of the mandatory product labeling system on small and medium-sized businesses in the Russian light industry.…
24.01.2025 547

Timberland Inspired by Bottega Veneta Style

Timberland has made a bold move and released its six-inch boot using Bottega Veneta's signature "Intrecciato" weave in the design.
22.01.2025 535

Italian Expo Riva Sсhuh & Gardabags Attracted 9 Visitors

In Italy in Riva del Garda From January 11 to 14, the international exhibition of shoes and bags Expo Riva Sсhuh & Gardabags was held. The exhibition attracted 9000 visitors from 100 countries, the same number as in January of the previous year. The organizers also note that…
22.01.2025 469
When you sign up, you will receive weekly news and articles about the shoe business on your e-mail.

To the beginning