Traffic jams VS shopping centers

The new mayor of Moscow intends to end traffic jams in the capital, as detailed in the "Comprehensive Plan of the Mayor of Moscow to Solve the Problems of the Moscow Transport Hub." Among the first measures is a ban on the construction of new shopping centers in the Central Administrative District and within the Third Transport Ring (TTK). According to the mayor, shopping centers increase traffic and worsen the traffic situation. According to store owners, a good place with fire in the daytime can no longer be found, and if nothing is built, then rent will jump above the rainbow. Natalie Kirpa analyzed the situation.

A little earlier, the churches of commerce planned in the center of the capital, under the hot mayor’s hand, were shopping centers on the Moscow Ring Road, which, with violations, built exits from the ring highway. The mayor's office calculated that every fifth existing shopping center on the MKAD has such violations. However, shopping centers are resuscitating, multiplying and starting to live again.

Previously, developers were given permission to build shopping centers without regard to how their appearance will affect traffic jams, market players themselves recognize. However, already in 2008, the former mayor of Moscow, Yuri Luzhkov, suspended the construction of new shopping centers. Such a restriction should have been valid until the introduction of the land use and development rules in Moscow, which are still not formulated.

Anamnesis

The first banned project was a shopping and entertainment center near Pushkinskaya Square (33 thousand square meters, a multiplex, an all-weather skating rink, parking at 800 parking lots). Its construction was carried out by the company TTC Tverskoy (62% belongs to the Turkish company MNG Holding). Now, on Pushkinskaya Square, the matter will be limited only to parking and interchanges. The second to the blacklist was the Tverskaya Zastava shopping center on Belorusskaya Square (106 thousand sq. M - total area, 36 thousand sq. M - trade, AFI Development), and shopping centers on Bolotnaya and Smolenskaya squares were in line. , as well as the Mosaic Center near the Avtozavodskaya metro station (134 thousand square meters; Trigranit Development Russia). In total, the construction of about 400 thousand square meters was frozen. m of real estate - this is half of the annual increase in retail space in the capital, which is approximately four Mega malls in area. The cost of building a shopping center within the TTK is $ 1,5 thousand per 1 sq. m, of which 30% - design costs. It turns out that the total losses of developers from the new initiative of the mayor may be about $ 200 million.

Argument Against: According to Andrey Konovaltsev, director of a Moscow design bureau, the "monster" near Kievsky Station, due to its inconvenient location and equally inconvenient access to the underground parking, has created a perpetual traffic jam on Dorogomilovskaya Zastava, despite being one of the widest streets in the capital. There is no international experience with constructing large shopping centers in close proximity to train stations—that's nonsense. It's unclear why this bad experience would be repeated now at Paveletsky Station, where a large center (120 square meters; developer: IPG Eurasia) is currently under construction. Incidentally, this shopping center could be converted into a city parking lot, since a pit has already been dug near the station.

Argument in favor: Large shopping centers are being built in Moscow due to a shortage of space for street retail. In Europe, such developments are located on the outskirts of major cities. If shopping center construction is cancelled without offering anything in its place, a shortage of retail space will soon emerge, leading to rising rents. By the beginning of 2010, the average vacancy rate in existing shopping centers was 5-10%, meaning there were no more available spaces, and all companies are eager for new stores.

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Forecast

And if the mayor's office is already so strongly opposed to the construction of already agreed projects, then the mechanism of compensation and damages should be worked out. For example, it would be correct to provide in such cases a plot prepared for construction outside the exclusion zone. According to Cushman & Wakefield, five large commercial facilities are under construction within the TTC, and five more are planned, including the Slava and Park City shopping centers. In order for these projects not to become a new headache for citizens and motorists, changes are needed in the rules for land use and development within Moscow.

Moreover, throughout the 2010 year, the demand for retail space was steadily growing, and if in 2009 the newly opened objects were opened at 60-70%, then in 2010, according to NAI BECAR, almost all the premises were rented out. By the end of 2010, the retail real estate market had a second wind - and one after another the iconic shopping centers began to open: RIO, Gagarinsky, Outlet Village Belaya Dacha, Vegas.

According to Becar Realty Group, if we take into account the shopping centers declared in 2009-2010 but not put into operation, the retail space may increase by another 575 thousand square meters. m during the period from 2011 to 2012.

And in the fight against transport collapse, the solution that other megalopolises of the world are successfully applying seems to be much more true - this is the development of satellite cities with housing and offices, the removal of business outside the center, and at the same time, the solution of problems with public transport.

Shopping centers to open in 2011